The Virginian-Pilot
                             THE VIRGINIAN-PILOT 
              Copyright (c) 1994, Landmark Communications, Inc.

DATE: Wednesday, August 17, 1994             TAG: 9408170433
SECTION: FRONT                    PAGE: A1   EDITION: FINAL 
SOURCE: BY MARGARET EDDS, STAFF WRITER 
DATELINE: RICHMOND                           LENGTH: Long  :  163 lines

ALLEN: VIOLENT CRIME, DOUBLE THE TIME LOW COST STUNS CRITICS OF PAROLE REFORM PLAN STATE WOULD SPEND EXTRA $250 MILLION FOR NEW PRISONS

Violent criminals would spend at least twice as long behind bars - and perhaps up to seven times as long - under a sweeping overhaul of Virginia's prison sentencing practices proposed Tuesday by the Allen administration.

Critics were stunned by the unexpectedly low cost of the plan - estimated at about $250 million for new prisons over 10 years, plus up to $54 million in added annual operating costs. Some had predicted a price tag as high as $3 billion when Gov. George F. Allen advocated eliminating parole and overhauling sentencing during his campaign last fall.

The recommendations, contained in a subcommittee report to Allen's parole commission, include eliminating parole by Jan. 1, 1995, and requiring future prisoners to serve at least 85 percent of their sentences.

The report offers the clearest glimpse to date of a parole-reform plan that is to be released in full next week and that will be considered at a special legislative session in mid-September.

Allen has not said how he will finance the proposed changes, which come on the heels of substantial prison-building in the 1990s.

Even without the Allen plan, known as Proposal X, annual prison operating costs are projected to grow by $370 million and prison-construction costs by at least $620 million over the next decade.

``Once these recommendations are enacted into law . . . Virginia's citizens will finally have a criminal-justice system they can trust,'' said Sen. Kenneth W. Stolle, R-Virginia Beach, who headed the parole-commission subcommittee that drafted the sentencing recommendations.

Former U.S. Attorney General William Barr and former federal prosecutor Richard Cullen, co-chairmen of the parole commission, predicted that Virginians would be much safer if the proposed changes were approved, because a core group of violent criminals would be removed from society.

But some others were more cautious. ``We're getting ready to promise something to the people of Virginia, and I hope to God that we deliver,'' countered Arlington Sen. Edward M. Holland, who represents the legislature's Democratic majority on the subcommittee.

Observers ranging from the American Civil Liberties Union to the Democratic side of the legislature questioned whether Allen's plan can be accomplished at the relatively low cost projected.

``It sounds awfully low to me. . . . I'm amazed. I'm very skeptical,'' said House Speaker Thomas W. Moss Jr., D-Norfolk.

``I'm shocked they can do it for that amount of money,'' said Julie McConnell, associate director of the American Civil Liberties Union.

But members of the parole commission and their administrative staff said a sophisticated computer analysis has allowed them to project that Proposal X will add only about 3,000 inmates to the state system over the next decade.

Larger growth will come in the second decade. State officials said attempting to project the higher costs for the second decade would be a meaningless exercise. Demographic trends could change significantly, for instance, or crime might be reduced because of Proposal X and other developments, they said.

At the heart of the Allen plan is a revision of the voluntary guidelines used by judges in sentencing criminals. Current guidelines are based on the sentences historically given in Virginia. Under the change, the sentences would reflect the amount of time criminals are actually spending in prison - a much lower figure.

The result is that while some sentences might appear to decrease under the new guidelines, the lack of parole means that prisoners would end up spending more time behind bars.

Judges could still depart from the guidelines, but they would have to explain why in writing. Juries, which impose about 6 percent of the sentences in criminal cases, would be affected only indirectly by the changes.

The plan, which would apply only to those criminals entering the system after Jan. 1, recommends that no penalty be less than the time currently served for a specific crime. But individuals who are convicted of a violent crime or who have a violent crime in their histories would serve significantly longer sentences.

For instance, the average length of sentence for a Virginian convicted of first-degree murder between 1988 and 1992 was 40 years and five months. But the average time served was only 12.4 years. Under Proposal X, the time served would double to 24.8 years if the inmate had no prior record or other aggravating circumstance.

However, if the inmate had been convicted previously of a violent crime with a maximum penalty of less than 40 years, the time served would jump to 49.6 years. Currently, inmates in that category are serving an average of 14.1 years.

If the previous violent crime has a maximum penalty of more than 40 years, a murderer would be sentenced to life in prison under Proposal X. Inmates in that category currently serve an average of 14.7 years.

The plan also calls for a new system of geriatric release and gubernatorial clemency, since a larger number of prisoners would be spending most of their lives in prison.

Cullen said he cannot promise that the plan will reduce Virginia's crime rate, largely because the number of crime-prone 16- to 24-year-olds is due to begin growing next year.

But the crime rate will not increase as quickly as it would without Proposal X, Cullen said.

Critics, however, lamented that the administration is not focusing more effort on crime-prevention techniques. ``If you're just going to throw money at the back end, it's not going to solve the problem,'' McConnell said.

``Without prevention, it's just an endless cycle.'' ILLUSTRATION: Color graphic

PROPOSAL X

Virginia Gov. George F. Allen's criminal-justice reform plan would

force violent criminals to spend two to seven times as long behind

bars. Legislators are to vote on it in a special session next

month.

[Graphic includes color photo of Gov. George F. Allen.]

For copy of graphic, see microfilm

Color Chart

LONGER SENTENCES

[Includes figures for First-Degree Murder, Forcible Rape, Grand

Larceny and Burglary in terms of Current Sentencing and Proposed

Sentencing]

Source: Department of Criminal Justice Services

For copy of chart, see microfilm

HIGHLIGHTS

ABOLISH PAROLE FOR NEW OFFENDERS: Effective Jan. 1, 1995

TRUTH IN SENTENCING: Revise and expand sentencing guidelines to

reflect actual time served in prison

INCREASE SENTENCES OF VIOLENT OFFENDERS: 100 percent for first-time

offenders; 300 percent to 700 percent for offenders with prior

violent convictions

INCREASE SENTENCES FOR NONVIOLENT OFFENDERS: 300 percent to 500

percent for those with prior violent convictions; special

clemency/release program for older inmates

NEW SENTENCING COMMISSION: Will recommend changes in sentencing

guidelines

PROBATION: Continue probation for up to three years after release

COST: About $850 million in new prisons in the next decade; the cost

is about $250 million more than the state already planned to spend

IN OTHER STATES

LOUISIANA

In 1992, it had the highest incarceration rate of any state, 478

per 100,000 residents. But it also ranked sixth nationally in total

crime that year. It increased the sentences of all criminals but

didn't make sentences dramatically longer for violent offenders.

WASHINGTON

In 1984, it enacted reforms similar to those Allen advocates: no

discretionary parole for new offenders; sentencing guidelines for

judges; and increased prison time for violent offenders. Since then,

the violent-crime rate has increased 43 percent, more than the

national average.

KEYWORDS: PRISON SYSTEM CRIME PAROLE SENTENCING

GOVERNOR'S COMMISSION ON PAROLE ABOLITION AND SENTENCING REFORM

by CNB