Title page for ETD etd-07282010-020251


Type of Document Master's Thesis
Author Haynes, Stephen Leland
URN etd-07282010-020251
Title One, two and three quarter forecasting models for broiler price.
Degree Master of Science
Department Agricultural Economics
Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title
Kenyon, David E. Committee Chair
Buccola, Steven T. Committee Member
Wilson, Ewen M. Committee Member
Keywords
  • user oriented forecasting models
Date of Defense 1977-08-05
Availability restricted
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to develop easy to use price forecasting models to predict broiler price one, two and three quarters in advance.

A system of five equations was developed for the two and three quarter lag models and a system of four equations was developed for the one quarter lag model. All coefficients in the equations were estimated using data published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

The models presented are true forecasting models which predict outside the data base. The models are user oriented. Examples were presented and the data base supplied so that anyone interested in using the models can easily duplicate the results. The models were analyzed for predictive ability and were compared with the ability of the futures market to forecast broiler price. Results showed all three models predicted better than no-change extrapolation. The models predicting broiler price two and three quarters in advance predicted better than the futures market.

Files
  Filename       Size       Approximate Download Time (Hours:Minutes:Seconds) 
 
 28.8 Modem   56K Modem   ISDN (64 Kb)   ISDN (128 Kb)   Higher-speed Access 
[VT] LD5655.V855_1977.H395.pdf 3.12 Mb 00:14:25 00:07:25 00:06:29 00:03:14 00:00:16
[BTD] next to an author's name indicates that all files or directories associated with their ETD are accessible from the Virginia Tech campus network only.

Browse All Available ETDs by ( Author | Department )

dla home
etds imagebase journals news ereserve special collections
virgnia tech home contact dla university libraries

If you have questions or technical problems, please Contact DLA.