ROANOKE TIMES 
                      Copyright (c) 1997, Roanoke Times

DATE: Wednesday, March 12, 1997              TAG: 9703120049
SECTION: BUSINESS                 PAGE: B-5  EDITION: METRO 
DATELINE: WASHINGTON
SOURCE: ASSOCIATED PRESS


U.S. PRODUCTIVITY DOUBLES OVER LAST YEAR EXPERTS CALL GAINS GOOD NEWS BUT SAY THEY PALE COMPARED WITH 1950S AND '60S

Many economists say improvements have been better than depicted in government reports.

Americans' productivity, the key measurement of how quickly living standards can rise, increased 0.7 percent last year. It was the best performance in four years but still below the standard set in the 1950s and 1960s.

The gain, reported Tuesday by the Labor Department, was more than double 1995's 0.3 percent advance. Though not far short of the typical annual gains seen since the mid-1970s, it was far below the performance in the decades after World War II. In the 1960s, for instance, annual gains on average exceeded 3 percent.

Productivity measures output per hour of work. Its sluggish growth since the 1970s is viewed as the root of many economic problems, including slow income growth and a pervasive feeling of insecurity among workers.

However, in recent years, many economists believe actual productivity improvements have been better than depicted in government reports, which have had difficulty measuring output in services.

``Although we cannot quite measure output properly, we know there's more of it,'' said economist Sam Kahan of A.S.K. Financial Research Ltd. in Chicago. ``We have changes in technology that are improving our output in all areas.''

``The primary force is computers,'' he said. ``It ranges from banking, where you don't have to see a teller, you can go to an ATM or bank by computer, to how a person writes a report or to how you have inventory control.''

He estimated that actual productivity improvement could be as much as 1 percentage point greater than reported by the Labor Department.

``This may be one explanation of why we've had fabulous price behavior even though economic growth seems to be pushing its limits,'' he said.

Tuesday's report marks a downward revision from the 0.8 percent annual gain reported a month ago.

In the fourth quarter, the Labor Department said, productivity grew at a 1.1 percent annual rate, only half the 2.2 percent figure it reported originally.

That occurred because hours worked increased more than had been thought and output increased less.


LENGTH: Medium:   53 lines
ILLUSTRATION: GRAPHIC:  Chart by AP. 












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