The Virginian-Pilot
                             THE VIRGINIAN-PILOT 
              Copyright (c) 1994, Landmark Communications, Inc.

DATE: Friday, July 29, 1994                  TAG: 9407290508
SECTION: BUSINESS                 PAGE: D01  EDITION: FINAL 
SOURCE: By PHIL MURRAY, STAFF WRITER 
                                             LENGTH: Short :   46 lines

SLOW JUNE CONSTRUCTION HURT ECONOMY BEHIND THE SLOWDOWN IN BUILDING: SHIPYARD PROBLEMS AND RISING INTEREST RATES. THE ANTIDOTE? A STRONG TOURIST SEASON, SAYS THE ECONOMIST WHO COMPILES THE INDEX.

The Hampton Roads economy stumbled in June as employment growth in construction - a major driving force locally - began to slow, a regional economist said Thursday.

It was the second straight month that the area's economic activity declined as measured by an index based on seasonally adjusted employment growth and average wages.

But David G. Garraty, a professor of economics and management at Virginia Wesleyan College who compiles the index, said it's not time to panic. He expects a rebound in the midsummer from a strong tourist season.

``From a larger perspective, it's still in line with our recovery,'' Garraty said. ``You don't want to get too upset with one or two months.''

In June, the index stood 1.3 percent above its year-earlier level. Garraty blamed June's drop on seasonally adjusted declines in manufacturing and construction jobs.

Most of the manufacturing loss came from layoffs at shipyards. Rising interest rates, which makes homes more expensive, were the culprits in construction.

Some of the slack, however, was picked up by retail trade and other tourism-sensitive sectors.

A similar index Garraty compiles for statewide economic activity also tapered off in June for the second straight month. Slowdowns in manufacturing and construction were factors at the state level as well. ILLUSTRATION: Staff graphic

Hampton Roads Economic Index

Source: David G. Garraty, Virginia Wesleyan College

For copy of graphic, see microfilm

KEYWORDS: ECONOMY

by CNB